pal1914
0x98108c0d7c34e12165bd77530b4f19f523f9f6c9
- Realised P&L
- $0.37
- Volume
- $929.16
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? · Yes | 0.655 | 0.265 | $4.05 | −$5.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.99at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$2.62at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$1.04at 0.657Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$0.73at 0.775Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$0.40at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 15:57 | Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.6548672456 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 17:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 05-08 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $18.75 |
| 05-08 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $11.01 |
| 05-08 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7623762263 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 17:25 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.043 | $13.24 |
| 04-25 18:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.90 |
| 04-24 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $0.96 |
| 04-22 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999955 | $5.72 |
| 04-22 17:18 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.064958943 | $20.00 |