31E88A2D47209faA91dA10577D8AaD1603312aaa
0x98107624ccd36d2bbe9913bc0df5ea7e411c7d5b
- Realised P&L
- $187.22
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 430
- Open portfolio
- $83.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded430
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.029 | $60.90 | −$3.09 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.005 | $23.08 | −$24.92 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$360.37at 0.027US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$5.84at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$5.61at 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$5.33at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.031 | $64.00 |
| 09-14 18:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0104004959 | $48.00 |
| 06-23 12:06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $24.00 |
| 06-23 12:06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $30.00 |
| 06-23 12:06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999938 | $24.00 |
| 04-25 11:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6899998579 | $1.30 |
| 04-25 11:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 04-25 10:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 04-25 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 04-25 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 04-25 09:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 04-25 09:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4599998411 | $1.01 |
| 04-25 08:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999019 | $1.50 |
| 04-25 08:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5799998034 | $1.11 |
| 04-25 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $1.38 |