0x980b778659bb90ea06d1019eb2883786f8cb4f24
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $660.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.478 | 0.997 | $270.92 | +$140.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? · No | 0.883 | 0.996 | $163.51 | +$18.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 16? · No | 0.939 | 1.000 | $143.64 | +$8.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $82.19 | +$22.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.15at 0.729Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 7?
- +$41.78at 0.744Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 8?
- +$37.67at 0.795Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 9?
- +$32.30at 0.803Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 9?
- +$23.29at 0.794Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2952755789 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $5.00 |