paulosergio25
0x98095347aebf3aa7a0ba5985bb1d7dc5ee0d2a8b
- Realised P&L
- $35.96
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $39.25
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $13.33 | +$3.33 |
| Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.760 | 1.000 | $13.16 | +$3.16 |
| Exact Score: Kayserispor 0 - 1 Manisa Futbol Kulubu? · No | 0.938 | 0.998 | $12.76 | +$0.76 |
| Exact Score: Plymouth Argyle FC 0 - 1 Burton Albion FC? · No | 0.895 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.41 |
| Will Cape Verde win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.76at 0.628Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?
- +$7.43at 0.446Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-07?
- +$7.03at 0.592Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-10?
- +$5.70at 0.509Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?
- +$4.91at 0.502Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:40 | Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 19:28 | Will Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.7948907563 | $14.19 |
| 10-10 19:12 | Exact Score: AS Monaco FC 1 - 0 Toulouse FC? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.15 |
| 10-10 18:59 | Exact Score: AS Monaco FC 1 - 0 Toulouse FC? | SELL | 0.89 | $14.67 |
| 10-10 18:59 | Exact Score: AS Monaco FC 1 - 0 Toulouse FC? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 18:59 | Exact Score: AS Monaco FC 1 - 0 Toulouse FC? | BUY | 0.9 | $12.00 |
| 10-10 18:47 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.92 | $12.26 |
| 10-10 18:36 | Will Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 18:08 | Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 18:06 | Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.35 | $5.83 |
| 10-10 17:13 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 16:59 | Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 16:34 | Exact Score: Kayserispor 0 - 1 Manisa Futbol Kulubu? | BUY | 0.937999998 | $12.00 |
| 10-10 16:33 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.77 | $12.90 |
| 10-10 16:24 | Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |