usernamedefault.txt
0x9805cf385541892a26fd84a698e1acd693e008f9
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $112.0k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $472.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.011 | $472.51 | −$4.8k |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$327.50at 0.262Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?
- +$164.20at 0.470Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?
- +$153.91at 0.457Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
- +$143.00at 0.503Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
- +$126.40at 0.463Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 11:04 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.020116587 | $58.06 |
| 08-13 03:20 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0239152223 | $41.70 |
| 07-13 18:03 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0328008476 | $40.25 |
| 07-03 07:25 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $81.91 |
| 07-03 02:29 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $85.09 |
| 06-01 14:33 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0500193875 | $80.03 |
| 06-01 06:16 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $59.57 |
| 05-18 17:27 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.13 |
| 05-18 06:01 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0597682751 | $48.54 |
| 05-06 00:07 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $37.88 |
| 05-02 15:39 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $11.70 |
| 04-29 18:22 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 04-29 04:29 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.32 | $123.00 |
| 04-27 19:56 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $93.96 |
| 04-25 16:36 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $104.65 |