caocibai
0x97f69ec9fdca9ca931a34ed608532f662465ae86
- Realised P&L
- $-21.6k
- Volume
- $45.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $25.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-47.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 29? · No | 0.999 | 0.978 | $9.89 | −$0.21 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on September 29? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $5.10 | −$0.02 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $4.12 | −$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 29? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $3.30 | −$0.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $3.10 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-21.6kat 0.980Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.10 |
| 09-28 13:28 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9989997878 | $4.12 |
| 09-28 13:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.12 |
| 09-28 13:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.9969999994 | $3.30 |
| 09-28 13:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.10 |
| 09-28 11:51 | Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.03 | $682.04 |
| 09-28 11:51 | Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $22.3k |