0x97e92e52a53f5bf92725288c78ae777b9669e9b1
0x97e92e52a53f5bf92725288c78ae777b9669e9b1
- Realised P&L
- $-39.09
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $1.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.50at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?
- +$3.20at 0.200Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 29?
- +$2.93at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$2.90at 0.400Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 28?
- +$2.78at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.87 |
| 10-31 01:28 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.2283333333 | $1.37 |
| 10-30 21:40 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.74 |
| 10-30 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.1567 | $0.94 |
| 10-29 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.77 | $5.39 |
| 10-29 03:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-28 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.82 |
| 10-28 17:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 10-28 14:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-28 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 10-28 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.89 |
| 10-28 10:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 10-28 09:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 10-28 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 10-28 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.98 |