DragonSlayer13
0x97e6b74dcf6b53bb180d994ec6c0aa6b411eb085
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $104.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.115 | $2.4k | −$2.1k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.035 | $528.46 | −$2.2k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.82at 0.780US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$40.00at 0.900Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?
- +$12.83at 0.942Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.130US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
- +$-16.97at 0.080Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 01:45 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1599471149 | $355.67 |
| 07-19 01:43 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0769945836 | $57.29 |
| 07-19 01:38 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $651.87 |
| 07-12 21:53 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499727983 | $275.67 |
| 07-12 21:47 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.059 | $76.70 |
| 07-12 21:46 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.32 |
| 07-12 21:40 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $71.77 |
| 07-12 21:39 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.052 | $118.49 |
| 07-12 21:37 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.051 | $3.06 |
| 07-12 20:47 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.01 |
| 07-12 20:46 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.92 |
| 07-12 20:45 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $502.58 |
| 07-12 20:45 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.93 |
| 06-14 13:04 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $36.32 |
| 06-14 13:04 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $40.01 |