0x97D0A2d307893996f81372Ec4f65b8361Bb7513b-1767727236362
0x97d0a2d307893996f81372ec4f65b8361bb7513b
- Realised P&L
- $1.32
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $951.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.760 | $800.46 | +$10.53 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.024 | $151.01 | −$69.48 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Egypt | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.81at 0.610Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$47.52at 0.953Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$4.90at 0.917Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$4.81at 0.120Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$3.35at 0.983Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 22:58 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.036 | $36.29 |
| 10-14 00:21 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $789.93 |
| 07-19 19:14 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.597499997 | $77.75 |
| 07-07 17:18 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 06-16 02:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | BUY | 0.3599999972 | $51.00 |
| 04-19 15:44 | Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.2050070323 | $36.44 |
| 03-03 05:10 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999999 | $1.1k |
| 03-03 05:09 | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.9860460545 | $1.1k |
| 01-24 14:24 | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | SELL | 0.1440625 | $28.81 |
| 01-20 12:13 | Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.917 | $54.16 |
| 01-18 14:08 | Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.9534414344 | $973.13 |