mitchellkatrina
0x97cf41bdc59b835e0b5127f8a109e41d5794d5b2
- Realised P&L
- $-85.59
- Volume
- $26.6k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $73.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.826 | 0.826 | $28.77 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? · No | 0.690 | 0.585 | $25.85 | −$4.64 |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.499 | $18.78 | −$8.67 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.54at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1?
- +$1.78at 0.490Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?
- +$0.75at 0.550Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
- +$0.59at 0.700Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?
- +$0.42at 0.330Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:06 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9849999975 | $4.00 |
| 01-31 13:59 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999614 | $14.43 |
| 01-30 11:59 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.40 |
| 01-30 11:57 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.50 |
| 01-30 11:47 | Will Solana dip to $70 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.38 |
| 01-30 11:43 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.08 |
| 12-30 08:51 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.95 |
| 12-30 08:48 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.90 |
| 12-30 08:23 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.36 |
| 12-30 00:41 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999764 | $22.54 |
| 12-29 20:34 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999241 | $13.00 |
| 12-29 18:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $52.89 |
| 10-30 19:48 | Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.51 |
| 10-30 19:09 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.78 |
| 09-29 13:21 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.90 |