ppgoue
0x97ce53289885a646a489f3dbf691aff0ae76ddad
- Realised P&L
- $-470.74
- Volume
- $93.8k
- Markets traded
- 702
- Open portfolio
- $57.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded702
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$343.40at 0.342Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 1?
- +$155.27at 0.487Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 13?
- +$143.93at 0.255Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?
- +$124.22at 0.541Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?
- +$123.30at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 17:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.41 | $14.88 |
| 09-17 01:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-16 23:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.47 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.51 |
| 09-16 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.07 |
| 09-15 19:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.1319756502 | $4.77 |
| 09-15 17:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.7208461669 | $85.19 |
| 09-15 16:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6869082655 | $131.64 |
| 09-15 15:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.68 |
| 09-15 13:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.5439061548 | $17.85 |
| 09-15 13:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.45 | $14.79 |
| 09-15 12:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.49 | $54.93 |
| 09-15 09:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.4252389268 | $26.79 |
| 09-15 04:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.33 | $30.69 |