trumpfangay
0x97cbc8e9380a68567b0bbb5477332bc22ee49efc
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $649.4k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $332.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.135 | $332.48 | −$298.24 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.183 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$474.09 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$157.38 |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$253.96 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.386 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$585.67 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$308.50 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bears vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.401 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) · Seokhyeon Ko | 0.621 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$405.19 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.943Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.5kat 0.765Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
- +$1.3kat 0.435Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?
- +$986.65at 0.337Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$810.70at 0.377Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 12:25 | Bears vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.4 | $1.1k |
| 09-08 08:45 | Bears vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.4099999996 | $400.00 |
| 09-08 07:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.0k |
| 09-04 14:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.4k |
| 09-03 04:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $18.00 |
| 09-03 04:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.4k |
| 08-21 13:36 | Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? | BUY | 0.23 | $99.40 |
| 08-13 15:55 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.51 | $194.28 |
| 07-18 23:12 | UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $97.85 |
| 07-18 23:06 | UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6199999967 | $68.40 |
| 07-18 22:36 | UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.61 | $48.13 |
| 07-18 22:35 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.252 | $50.40 |
| 07-18 14:51 | UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.62 | $190.82 |
| 07-18 14:50 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 07-14 17:26 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3774999993 | $290.71 |