0x97B8428Cd9f2eF09F172524a38F01C19Cda29039-1760543640351
0x97b8428cd9f2ef09f172524a38f01c19cda29039
- Realised P&L
- $-9.39
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $815.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.815 | $815.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.00 |
| Ethereum all time high by October 31? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.30at 0.630MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$119.29at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15?
- +$33.00at 0.835Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
- +$22.47at 0.957Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
- +$6.38at 0.940Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 15:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $840.00 |
| 05-24 07:43 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.178 | $178.00 |
| 03-15 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? | BUY | 0.89 | $177.15 |
| 11-02 14:21 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.041 | $30.75 |
| 11-02 14:19 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.04 | $8.00 |
| 11-01 13:38 | Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 11-01 09:03 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.037 | $35.15 |
| 10-29 15:36 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.0129741183 | $5.85 |
| 10-28 15:09 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.9569999993 | $500.00 |
| 10-19 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 15:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 15:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |