kogrms
0x97b829e640ad783055ae3483a8378d296cd0fca9
- Realised P&L
- $-51.38
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $27.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.145 | $12.69 | −$2.31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.175 | $9.37 | −$5.63 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.007 | $5.56 | −$14.44 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.20 | −$1.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down | 0.246 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.51at 0.855Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
- +$5.47at 0.523Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$4.94at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$3.53at 0.908Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$3.05at 0.868Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $7.85 |
| 09-10 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $11.67 |
| 09-10 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $8.77 |
| 09-10 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.75 | $6.04 |
| 09-10 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 12:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $5.80 |
| 09-10 12:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.594000594 | $5.00 |