0x97b66a5b915bc3988389431efeadafb8e93b699a
- Realised P&L
- $4.64
- Volume
- $377.23
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $20.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.085 | $16.80 | −$4.59 |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.115 | $4.05 | −$7.05 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.96 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 24? · Up | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.96 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.94at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
- +$4.28at 0.580Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$2.94at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on June 22?
- +$0.58at 0.820Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
- +$0.16at 0.966Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 08:57 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2999999656 | $5.23 |
| 07-06 12:24 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.83 |
| 07-05 12:58 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.83 |
| 07-03 09:57 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999896 | $9.73 |
| 07-02 10:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9829999979 | $6.98 |
| 07-01 08:31 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.329999977 | $5.87 |
| 06-30 11:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1939999708 | $4.96 |
| 06-28 10:29 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5799999686 | $5.91 |
| 06-26 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.56 |
| 06-24 12:32 | Ethereum Up or Down on June 24? | BUY | 0.789999994 | $3.96 |
| 06-23 08:38 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.8199999938 | $2.64 |
| 06-23 08:30 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8299999796 | $4.89 |
| 06-21 19:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.94 |
| 06-19 08:46 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.93 |
| 06-18 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18? | BUY | 0.9659999953 | $4.55 |