widderhanswsb
0x97b4eddaf68213a9ff6143716e8f46e94ada2065
- Realised P&L
- $15.01
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $24.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 28? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.997 | $24.86 | −$0.06 |
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 17? · Down | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 17? · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.92at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 7?
- +$3.05at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?
- +$2.33at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 12?
- +$2.19at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?
- +$2.19at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.92 |
| 09-17 15:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.88 |
| 09-13 04:18 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.88 |
| 09-12 04:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.9978792321 | $1.2k |
| 09-11 00:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9972284767 | $1.2k |
| 09-10 01:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.2k |
| 09-09 02:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 09-08 00:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.2k |
| 09-07 00:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 7? | BUY | 0.996404203 | $1.2k |
| 08-27 16:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.88 |
| 08-17 15:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.85 |
| 08-03 16:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9989999934 | $23.82 |
| 07-24 16:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.997999971 | $23.78 |
| 07-14 15:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 15? | BUY | 0.9989999913 | $23.77 |
| 07-04 16:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.75 |