PolyBot

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Traders

Stephen4453

0x97ac3d3683d85b5fd202c671aaf763e1fd15a657

Realised P&L
$-16.75
Volume
$17.8k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$21.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No0.9990.999$15.49$0.01
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9980.998$3.50$0.00
Will Brayden Burries win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No0.9970.997$3.00$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 03:46Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.999$15.50
09-10 19:43Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.999$6.29
09-08 07:34Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?SELL0.998$10.29
09-08 07:33Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.999$14.71
09-06 14:30Will Brayden Burries win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.997$3.00
09-03 21:58Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.998$3.50
08-31 17:42Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.999$6.30
08-25 18:40Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.999$10.30
08-13 08:23Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.998$14.70
08-12 06:45Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.992$6.25
08-12 06:44Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.998$6.69
08-12 06:42Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.996$6.89
08-12 06:41Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.997$11.39
08-08 16:22Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.999$6.70
07-30 21:53Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.998$11.40