GodsChildSeeksForture
0x97abe233a0eb7f3b1a23c6e083892d6d05baa19f
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $599.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,623
- Open portfolio
- $324.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,623
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $324.84 | +$3.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.91 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$390.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$978.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 8? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.09 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 15? · No | 0.726 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$661.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 13? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$886.95at 0.162Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 6?
- +$550.78at 0.878Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
- +$546.89at 0.776Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?
- +$433.89at 0.690Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?
- +$408.41at 0.547Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.9898461538 | $321.70 |
| 09-28 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $0.43 |
| 09-28 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.92 | $34.04 |
| 09-28 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.64 | $40.83 |
| 09-28 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $63.70 |
| 09-28 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.97 | $18.43 |
| 09-28 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.85 |
| 09-26 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $30.39 |
| 09-18 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $214.30 |
| 09-18 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.979086734 | $298.46 |
| 09-15 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.64 |
| 09-13 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.98 | $95.52 |
| 09-12 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $594.02 |
| 09-12 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $351.86 |
| 09-12 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.9580769231 | $74.73 |