arizve2
0x97a88c501b4897ef2421c2787134135ab65997ba
- Realised P&L
- $-711.13
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $165.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.66at 0.359Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
- +$77.75at 0.284Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
- +$68.67at 0.382Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$52.35at 0.497Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
- +$28.96at 0.361Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $12.00 |
| 09-15 20:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 20:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4699999612 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 20:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 20:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 20:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 19:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.86 | $49.48 |
| 09-14 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999524 | $3.93 |
| 09-12 10:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 13:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.44 | $14.93 |
| 09-08 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 14:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 14:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.98 |
| 09-04 14:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |