ProBoszcz
0x979d96fa4fb00a18ec3aafbe0862c8151b66fcfa
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $159.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.045 | $2.0k | −$4.6k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.034 | $358.19 | −$1.0k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.065 | $85.14 | −$118.09 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.018 | $17.64 | −$83.16 |
| US government shutdown by October 1? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$634.11at 0.224Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$66.46at 0.177Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$12.16at 0.024Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.77at 0.033China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
- +$-10.00at 0.073Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 09:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $115.65 |
| 08-06 11:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $169.18 |
| 07-20 23:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $106.41 |
| 07-20 23:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $107.07 |
| 07-17 08:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $108.11 |
| 07-16 15:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $95.13 |
| 07-16 15:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $19.59 |
| 06-21 04:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $37.48 |
| 06-21 04:55 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.038 | $38.89 |
| 06-19 03:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 06-19 03:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 06-19 03:24 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.023 | $23.54 |
| 06-18 17:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 06-18 17:48 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023 | $9.20 |
| 06-18 17:45 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023 | $23.00 |