ewf34fffe
0x979b7a7f3e8aeaf5267dc34f569764067fa24a55
- Realised P&L
- $-759.51
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $0.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.023 | $0.59 | −$12.20 |
| Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 28.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$252.50 |
| Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$975.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$420.00at 0.500Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
- +$390.00at 0.500Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5
- +$49.40at 0.810Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
- +$12.54at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 13?
- +$6.08at 0.810Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 01:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.89 |
| 09-30 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.43 |
| 09-28 14:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.42 |
| 08-31 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on September 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.01 |
| 07-07 01:42 | Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) | BUY | 0.997 | $13.96 |
| 07-05 02:36 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 6 above $3.00? | BUY | 0.9800169492 | $17.35 |
| 06-24 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.982 | $8.50 |
| 06-24 01:15 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | SELL | 0.996 | $19.56 |
| 06-20 02:06 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.52 |
| 06-11 01:09 | Spread: South Africa (-2.5) | BUY | 0.997 | $15.95 |
| 06-04 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.92 |
| 05-29 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $24.85 |
| 05-18 13:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.45 |
| 05-13 00:40 | Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.81 | $14.58 |
| 05-11 00:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 11? | BUY | 0.9892604167 | $18.99 |