Po1yBot-4P7HX6X9cZ
0x979a1d4fe2ecbfeccc9a32c84872d2c2607ffa71
- Realised P&L
- $-17.30
- Volume
- $812.76
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $9.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.160 | $9.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.10at 0.781Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$11.18at 0.807Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$3.91at 0.310Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 10?
- +$3.83at 0.432Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 14?
- +$3.53at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.61 |
| 09-18 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.60 |
| 09-18 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.40 |
| 09-18 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.47 |
| 09-18 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.47 |
| 09-18 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.14851485 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.40 |
| 09-18 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.05 |
| 09-18 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.49 |
| 09-18 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.94 | $8.30 |
| 09-17 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9099999887 | $4.04 |
| 09-17 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.96 | $4.13 |