0x9799211DaD971Ff97d3E652b9979ABD2B6f37b56-1781398726548
0x9799211dad971ff97d3e652b9979abd2b6f37b56
- Realised P&L
- $-237.20
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $56.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HB Køge win on 2026-09-22? · No | 0.972 | 1.000 | $34.63 | +$0.95 |
| Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.970 | 1.000 | $11.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-23? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.957 | $10.28 | −$0.10 |
| Spain leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-22? · No | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-14? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Juventus FC (-4.5) · NEC | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.65 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) · Manchester City | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.91 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.16 |
| Spread: Al Ain FC (-2.5) · Al Nassr Club | 0.965 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.94at 0.627Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$18.16at 0.746Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
- +$17.96at 0.597Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$12.59at 0.873Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
- +$9.46at 0.883Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:57 | Will HB Køge win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.970999999 | $22.68 |
| 09-22 18:57 | Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.17 |
| 09-22 18:57 | Spread: Manchester City WFC (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $11.56 |
| 09-22 17:20 | Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.9739999993 | $10.89 |
| 09-22 17:20 | Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) | SELL | 0.975536193 | $10.92 |
| 09-22 14:00 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.9659999983 | $10.38 |
| 09-22 13:56 | Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $11.00 |
| 09-22 09:52 | Spread: Manchester City WFC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $11.00 |
| 09-22 09:50 | Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9829999993 | $11.00 |
| 09-22 09:49 | Will HB Køge win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.9739999991 | $11.00 |
| 09-20 19:29 | Spread: CA Paranaense (-3.5) | BUY | 0.9789999993 | $11.00 |
| 09-20 15:43 | Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9769999989 | $11.00 |
| 09-20 15:20 | Spread: Levante UD (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9809999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 15:14 | Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5) | BUY | 0.985 | $10.10 |
| 09-20 14:00 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.809999999 | $8.28 |