0x979838cba97d533bd7d3c3495e618256303d1c5b
0x979838cba97d533bd7d3c3495e618256303d1c5b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.33
- Volume
- $182.80
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $2.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.475 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.525 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · No | 0.220 | 0.125 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.13at 0.320US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:35 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:18 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:14 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:49 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:28 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:49 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $710 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:41 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:27 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:41 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:40 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:40 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:33 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |