0x97966a72d039c8fddd88e7115d6852ad00940d2f
- Realised P&L
- $-158.04
- Volume
- $37.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $205.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.013 | $205.04 | −$154.15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.90at 0.607Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-52.23at 0.010MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $320.83 |
| 09-15 10:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $700.00 |
| 07-19 21:29 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6901061995 | $3.0k |
| 07-19 19:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6029999998 | $995.46 |
| 07-19 19:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6029999856 | $8.00 |
| 07-19 18:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5849999998 | $982.08 |
| 07-19 18:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5849999997 | $578.05 |
| 06-02 22:06 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $50.00 |
| 05-01 22:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0286995994 | $199.00 |
| 04-26 23:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0195616953 | $149.25 |
| 04-26 10:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 23:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0174955138 | $9.95 |