laoli6
0x97921ce20acda52c2fbd884edee4b22f8d092bcf
- Realised P&L
- $-20.51
- Volume
- $497.50
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $12.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? · No | 0.990 | 0.425 | $12.14 | −$16.10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20? · No | 0.990 | 0.070 | $0.59 | −$7.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.70at 0.558Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-09?
- +$8.95at 0.502Will CF América win on 2026-08-09?
- +$7.15at 0.457Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
- +$1.95at 0.828Will San Diego FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?
- +$1.90at 0.937Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.966 | $4.88 |
| 09-20 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.968 | $4.89 |
| 09-19 23:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.01 |
| 09-19 21:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.97 |
| 09-19 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.03 |
| 09-19 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.04 |
| 09-19 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.04 |
| 09-19 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.15 |
| 09-19 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.02 |
| 08-11 09:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $3.71 |
| 08-11 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11? | SELL | 0.993 | $13.06 |
| 08-10 03:13 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |