questionablecolorful
0x978d3a946d946fca976678ab1facc22dc66f5edd
- Realised P&L
- $125.34
- Volume
- $35.8k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 7m? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.997 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$517.49at 0.499Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?
- +$99.25at 0.856Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
- +$73.40at 0.838Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
- +$58.89at 0.086Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
- +$51.92at 0.360GTA VI released in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:07 | Will "Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 7m? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:10 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 10-04 15:05 | Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-04 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999488 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 06:46 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-03 18:45 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m? | BUY | 0.0395228947 | $1.50 |
| 03-20 15:56 | Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 03-08 15:07 | Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m? | BUY | 0.3359494491 | $20.73 |
| 03-01 16:38 | Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? | BUY | 0.0379041916 | $2.28 |
| 02-27 08:24 | Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.285578 | $14.28 |
| 02-27 08:24 | Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.2854 | $14.27 |
| 02-14 15:45 | Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? | BUY | 0.76415 | $15.28 |
| 02-09 20:57 | Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? | BUY | 0.5975 | $59.75 |
| 02-09 20:56 | Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m? | BUY | 0.867 | $86.70 |
| 02-08 15:33 | Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |