PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

questionablecolorful

0x978d3a946d946fca976678ab1facc22dc66f5edd

Realised P&L
$125.34
Volume
$35.8k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$1.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 7m? · Yes0.9990.997$1.00−$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.50
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 16:07Will "Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?BUY0.999$1.00
10-04 15:10Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?BUY0.78$15.60
10-04 15:05Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?BUY0.22$2.20
10-04 06:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.6099999488$5.00
10-04 06:46Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?BUY0.24$4.80
10-03 18:45Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?BUY0.0395228947$1.50
03-20 15:56Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?BUY0.24$12.00
03-08 15:07Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?BUY0.3359494491$20.73
03-01 16:38Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?BUY0.0379041916$2.28
02-27 08:24Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?BUY0.285578$14.28
02-27 08:24Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY0.2854$14.27
02-14 15:45Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?BUY0.76415$15.28
02-09 20:57Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?BUY0.5975$59.75
02-09 20:56Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?BUY0.867$86.70
02-08 15:33Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?BUY0.53$5.30