Weary-Chip-Unit
0x978100d3868f99d862a4635f56e8f0f1f5d13505
- Realised P&L
- $-4.85
- Volume
- $208.37
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $33.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PFC Cherno More Varna win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.490 | $15.99 | −$0.33 |
| Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.685 | $15.60 | +$0.11 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.040 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.78at 0.439Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?
- +$3.76at 0.400Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$3.76at 0.414Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?
- +$2.01at 0.590Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
- +$1.85at 0.683Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 12:15 | Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.679999993 | $15.49 |
| 11-02 12:10 | Will PFC Cherno More Varna win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.5 | $16.32 |
| 11-02 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.7282 | $9.10 |
| 11-02 11:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 11-02 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.993 | $32.18 |
| 11-01 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.424756093 | $13.77 |
| 10-26 23:00 | Will PFC Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-27? | BUY | 0.5699999682 | $5.74 |
| 10-26 22:57 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.93 |
| 10-26 17:15 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6729999907 | $4.00 |
| 10-26 17:15 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2629999885 | $4.17 |
| 10-26 17:04 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.73 | $8.49 |
| 10-25 23:48 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.7299999991 | $8.49 |
| 05-24 13:02 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.56 |
| 05-24 13:02 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.326 | $1.16 |