PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Weary-Chip-Unit

0x978100d3868f99d862a4635f56e8f0f1f5d13505

Realised P&L
$-4.85
Volume
$208.37
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$33.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PFC Cherno More Varna win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.5000.490$15.99−$0.33
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.6800.685$15.60+$0.11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3? · Yes0.0800.040$1.50−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 12:15Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.679999993$15.49
11-02 12:10Will PFC Cherno More Varna win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.5$16.32
11-02 12:04Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?SELL0.7282$9.10
11-02 11:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3?BUY0.08$3.00
11-02 09:22Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?BUY0.4$5.00
11-02 09:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?SELL0.993$32.18
11-01 15:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.424756093$13.77
10-26 23:00Will PFC Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-27?BUY0.5699999682$5.74
10-26 22:57Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.999$5.93
10-26 17:15Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6729999907$4.00
10-26 17:15Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2629999885$4.17
10-26 17:04Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?SELL0.73$8.49
10-25 23:48Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.7299999991$8.49
05-24 13:02Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.031$0.56
05-24 13:02Iran closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.326$1.16