Willie-9527
0x9779eff33bf887fff6d723f7e49fb8e05ba5211b
- Realised P&L
- $-209.71
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $288.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.695 | $288.16 | −$43.54 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? · No | 0.816 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$226.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.13at 0.620Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$30.97at 0.763Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
- +$26.58at 0.790Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
- +$2.68at 0.958Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$2.63at 0.974Will TikTok be banned in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-26 06:15 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $331.70 |
| 01-26 06:14 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.6061184812 | $331.70 |
| 01-06 07:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.6936340837 | $298.77 |
| 12-25 02:44 | Will Apple release a new product line in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $130.96 |
| 12-12 10:17 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.9609999998 | $126.58 |
| 12-09 02:41 | Will Apple release a new product line in 2025? | BUY | 0.9849999978 | $63.81 |
| 11-14 06:57 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.958 | $61.13 |
| 11-12 03:18 | Will TikTok be banned in 2025? | BUY | 0.9743726013 | $100.00 |
| 11-09 14:41 | Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | SELL | 0.999 | $161.13 |
| 11-04 10:54 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8399999921 | $97.89 |
| 11-04 10:52 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.6843880162 | $100.00 |
| 11-04 10:48 | Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | BUY | 0.7635624036 | $100.00 |
| 11-03 11:07 | Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.7899999934 | $100.00 |
| 11-03 11:06 | Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |