bingesquake
0x9775e9e4ab9f1e675248a4c826bf8511e707b70d
- Realised P&L
- $-761.11
- Volume
- $64.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,167
- Open portfolio
- $31.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,167
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.55at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 13?
- +$30.06at 0.858Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?
- +$26.85at 0.157Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6?
- +$24.28at 0.110Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?
- +$24.09at 0.502Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.2743008424 | $4.56 |
| 10-13 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.736 | $3.68 |
| 10-13 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.739 | $3.69 |
| 10-12 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.91 | $15.12 |
| 10-12 20:21 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.71 |
| 10-12 14:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-12 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.777 | $7.77 |
| 10-12 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.11 |
| 10-12 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 10-12 09:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.02 |
| 10-12 09:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.03 |
| 10-12 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.947 | $56.03 |
| 10-12 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-11 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-11 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.938 | $15.01 |