PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x976De0d0711fB61e8287f85d7a9Fa56d5E53b79D-1770825040298

0x976de0d0711fb61e8287f85d7a9fa56d5e53b79d

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$114.8k
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.7650.765$313.65+$0.15
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? · No0.7520.825$308.47+$27.08
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.7990.735$191.10$16.70
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.3700.375$129.91+$1.73
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2600.255$127.50$2.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7690.780$78.05+$1.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes0.7600.545$54.50$21.50
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · No0.9540.966$39.59+$0.47
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0300.024$2.79$0.68
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00$20.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · No0.7870.000$0.00$234.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.6560.000$0.00$10.00
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$27.20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$78.98
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$160.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:13Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.26$130.00
09-16 19:44Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.954$39.11
09-16 19:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$488.36
09-16 11:30Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.78$124.80
09-16 08:31Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.769$76.90
09-16 08:14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.44$88.00
09-15 21:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$88.00
09-15 21:35Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?SELL0.999$220.39
09-15 19:28Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.42$84.00
09-15 17:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?SELL0.56$68.38
09-15 16:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?SELL0.999$99.90
09-15 13:54Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.78$23.40
09-15 13:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$187.44
09-15 11:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$41.93
09-15 08:15Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?BUY0.77$154.00