0x976De0d0711fB61e8287f85d7a9Fa56d5E53b79D-1770825040298
0x976de0d0711fb61e8287f85d7a9fa56d5e53b79d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $114.8k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$371.63at 0.639Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$358.85at 0.695Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
- +$327.95at 0.828Bulls vs. Wizards
- +$260.66at 0.700Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$216.40at 0.690Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:13 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.26 | $130.00 |
| 09-16 19:44 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.954 | $39.11 |
| 09-16 19:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $488.36 |
| 09-16 11:30 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.78 | $124.80 |
| 09-16 08:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.769 | $76.90 |
| 09-16 08:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 09-15 21:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 09-15 21:35 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | SELL | 0.999 | $220.39 |
| 09-15 19:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 09-15 17:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | SELL | 0.56 | $68.38 |
| 09-15 16:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-15 13:54 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 09-15 13:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $187.44 |
| 09-15 11:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $41.93 |
| 09-15 08:15 | Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.77 | $154.00 |