xuebixuebi
0x97648cbec6cb539d3085748d0440de4e196aa691
- Realised P&L
- $169.70
- Volume
- $46.8k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $29.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.108 | $25.06 | −$32.94 |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.015 | $4.00 | −$44.00 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.003 | $0.93 | −$9.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$366.66at 0.347Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$350.09at 0.477Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$302.41at 0.527Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$270.78at 0.447Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$159.97at 0.667Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 06:23 | Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in September? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-02 13:05 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.66 |
| 09-02 12:48 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? | SELL | 0.04175 | $0.84 |
| 09-02 12:37 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? | BUY | 0.073557 | $1.47 |
| 08-28 06:14 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 06:14 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-28 06:00 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-28 05:58 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-28 05:55 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.0013636364 | $0.08 |
| 08-28 05:46 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 05:40 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 08-28 05:39 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 08-28 05:39 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.82 |
| 08-28 05:37 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.44 |
| 08-28 05:36 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |