max413
0x975e746f6807f9500b330a3a94b8338e1b5a2787
- Realised P&L
- $-63.50
- Volume
- $159.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No | 0.360 | 0.295 | $573.61 | −$126.39 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.029 | $168.23 | −$831.77 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $162.50 | −$37.50 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.365 | $156.43 | +$6.43 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Chiefs vs. Seahawks · Chiefs | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.597Ole Miss vs. Texas
- +$653.27at 0.121Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$9.09at 0.220US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$-100.00at 0.040Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$-906.38at 0.170Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 01:40 | Chiefs vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.09 | $42.25 |
| 10-24 03:16 | Ole Miss vs. Texas | BUY | 0.5899999999 | $1.5k |
| 10-03 12:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $150.00 |
| 10-03 12:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $200.00 |
| 10-03 12:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3599999999 | $700.00 |
| 04-15 08:16 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $700.00 |
| 04-08 14:27 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.0766143492 | $743.61 |
| 04-08 14:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.3478018866 | $1.0k |
| 04-04 09:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.1 | $250.00 |
| 04-04 08:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $500.00 |
| 03-17 15:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 03-17 14:32 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0403290933 | $100.00 |
| 02-26 08:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $500.00 |
| 01-13 11:12 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $109.09 |
| 01-12 20:39 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |