EthanDeFi
0x975ad39760b5e113229888d2b0fa90fd9111359a
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $119.5k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $16.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.41at 0.974Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?
- +$137.85at 0.966Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
- +$106.00at 0.974Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$78.31at 0.992Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
- +$65.80at 0.981Trump out as President by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:10 | Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8234126972 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 19:09 | Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7905150175 | $66.00 |
| 09-17 19:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $700.00 |
| 09-17 19:08 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.2k |
| 09-17 19:07 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $33.99 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 09-17 19:05 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.67 | $75.82 |
| 09-17 11:41 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.016 | $78.22 |
| 09-14 14:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9840440283 | $700.00 |
| 09-14 14:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $2.0k |
| 09-14 14:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9839999993 | $300.00 |
| 09-11 09:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $534.06 |
| 09-11 09:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.0k |
| 09-07 21:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $1.2k |