PolyBot

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Traders

EthanDeFi

0x975ad39760b5e113229888d2b0fa90fd9111359a

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$119.5k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$16.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · No0.9830.994$7.3k+$82.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No0.9890.996$3.5k+$22.90
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.6090.875$2.8k+$863.96
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7770.917$537.37+$82.17
Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? · No0.6730.655$491.22$13.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4800.505$404.00+$20.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.685$274.00+$14.00
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6030.595$207.65$2.91
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No0.9620.994$206.55+$6.55
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9200.925$125.80+$0.68
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.0160.018$90.00+$10.00
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8230.895$86.96+$6.96
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.785$78.50+$28.50
Will Plasma reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.983$70.56+$18.13
Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.7900.685$57.19$8.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:10Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.8234126972$80.00
09-17 19:09Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7905150175$66.00
09-17 19:08Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.9909999999$700.00
09-17 19:08Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$1.2k
09-17 19:07Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?BUY0.68$33.99
09-17 19:06Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?BUY0.68$67.99
09-17 19:06Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?BUY0.68$67.99
09-17 19:05Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?BUY0.67$75.82
09-17 11:41Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.016$78.22
09-14 14:38Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.9840440283$700.00
09-14 14:37Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.9889999998$2.0k
09-14 14:36Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.9839999993$300.00
09-11 09:05Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.989$534.06
09-11 09:05Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.984$2.0k
09-07 21:47Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999997$1.2k