PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gerbi

0x9759c6e3f81f407007fc958d32547c3049d0a7f8

Realised P&L
$-6.36
Volume
$431.58
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$3.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.3100.305$1.97−$0.03
Will India win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
Will Australia win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.1000.075$0.75−$0.25
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 01:45Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.5228636884$18.26
09-25 01:06Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-25 01:05Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.1499999925$2.00
09-25 00:26Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-24 22:16Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-24 22:16Will India win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.1$1.00
09-24 22:15Will Australia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.1$1.00
09-24 20:45Will Nicaragua win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.16$1.00
09-24 20:44Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.16$2.00
09-24 20:30Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.76$12.66
09-24 20:28Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.85$13.05
09-24 20:08Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
09-24 06:37Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-24 06:37Will Ecuador win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-24 06:36Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.1899999962$1.00