gerbi
0x9759c6e3f81f407007fc958d32547c3049d0a7f8
- Realised P&L
- $-6.36
- Volume
- $431.58
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $3.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will India win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Nicaragua win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.61at 0.149Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24?
- +$6.32at 0.371Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?
- +$6.32at 0.763Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$5.77at 0.468Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
- +$4.23at 0.422Will Malta win on 2026-09-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 01:45 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.5228636884 | $18.26 |
| 09-25 01:06 | Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 01:05 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 00:26 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:16 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 22:16 | Will India win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:15 | Will Australia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:45 | Will Nicaragua win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:44 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 20:30 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.76 | $12.66 |
| 09-24 20:28 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.85 | $13.05 |
| 09-24 20:08 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 06:37 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 06:37 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 06:36 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |