emily53
0x974fadf7d50ce0f799d2ddf6dc0c28312b42ac70
- Realised P&L
- $6.84
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $17.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texas (-3.5) · Texas | 0.550 | 0.555 | $17.36 | +$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.76at 0.450Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$4.59at 0.770Solana above $190 on February 14?
- +$0.35at 0.989Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?
- +$0.19at 0.990Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?
- +$0.15at 0.990Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:34 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.32 |
| 01-30 15:43 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.82 |
| 01-30 15:34 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.45 |
| 01-30 15:08 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.52 |
| 01-30 13:18 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.32 |
| 12-30 17:36 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998999702 | $2.31 |
| 12-30 16:28 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9979999975 | $7.98 |
| 12-30 15:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.35 |
| 12-30 10:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.21 |
| 12-29 20:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.90 |
| 12-29 20:25 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.9949999673 | $30.01 |
| 12-29 19:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.997999984 | $30.07 |
| 10-30 19:47 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.79 |
| 10-30 17:34 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9893034095 | $32.75 |
| 09-29 12:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.02 |