shaqiu
0x974ebaead50bccd38ba05d3a7dac0f62528dfb14
- Realised P&L
- $-15.23
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 596
- Open portfolio
- $9.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded596
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.11at 0.128Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 14?
- +$6.95at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28?
- +$6.71at 0.990Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?
- +$3.52at 0.982Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?
- +$2.70at 0.270Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 04:31 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.80 |
| 10-29 04:28 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.33 |
| 10-27 02:25 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 02:24 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 02:20 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.7799998674 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 02:19 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 02:17 | Will Solana reach $160 in October? | BUY | 0.9969999772 | $40.00 |
| 10-27 02:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | BUY | 0.9949999759 | $40.00 |
| 10-27 02:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | SELL | 0.997 | $44.87 |
| 10-27 02:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | SELL | 0.996 | $40.04 |
| 10-23 02:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 23? | BUY | 0.9989997515 | $4.00 |
| 10-23 02:21 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 02:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9949999759 | $40.00 |
| 10-23 02:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | SELL | 0.9934442222 | $44.70 |
| 10-21 04:44 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92? | BUY | 0.9579999941 | $1.30 |