0x974a67efdabcec3056c228bb148760ef036c8efd
0x974a67efdabcec3056c228bb148760ef036c8efd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $115.0k
- Markets traded
- 857
- Open portfolio
- $527.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded857
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.90at 0.230Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5
- +$128.56at 0.167Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-25?
- +$117.06at 0.043Will the match end in a draw?
- +$108.14at 0.270Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato
- +$91.10at 0.180Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 20:32 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.0889999997 | $9.04 |
| 10-23 20:32 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.8819999993 | $89.61 |
| 10-23 16:56 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.9054226833 | $47.05 |
| 10-23 16:56 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.0729999991 | $3.86 |
| 10-16 18:00 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999991 | $30.63 |
| 10-16 17:59 | Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $70.78 |
| 10-14 23:33 | Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999983 | $26.23 |
| 10-12 12:46 | Will Bangladesh win? | SELL | 0.795056913 | $104.77 |
| 10-12 12:46 | Will the match end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1096576962 | $14.10 |
| 10-12 12:46 | Will Afghanistan win? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.53 |
| 10-12 09:30 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.3787021969 | $35.60 |
| 10-12 09:30 | Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999991 | $24.36 |
| 10-11 13:53 | Will Bangladesh win? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $119.92 |
| 10-11 13:53 | Will Afghanistan win? | BUY | 0.0489999997 | $6.45 |
| 10-11 13:53 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0419999999 | $5.40 |