0x9746b4159cEf3b62eD14a157eC1F1Cc865Bc8642-1773910297737
0x9746b4159cef3b62ed14a157ec1f1cc865bc8642
- Realised P&L
- $-302.20
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $236.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $1,000 | 0.457 | 0.325 | $173.89 | −$70.53 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.175 | $35.00 | −$109.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.137 | $27.30 | −$110.70 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.20at 0.019Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?
- +$98.60at 0.007DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?
- +$45.50at 0.045Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- +$37.20at 0.004Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
- +$30.00at 0.200EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 03:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $144.00 |
| 03-23 01:33 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.045 | $4.50 |