PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tibellium

0x973c645a16cc13ce87a6be0f5f20344ba6cdcfc0

Realised P&L
$-69.08
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$283.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.8130.784$192.97$7.03
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? · Yes0.7800.710$90.96$9.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$25.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? · No0.5030.000$0.00$70.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 11:55Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?BUY0.7805334747$100.00
09-22 11:54Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?BUY0.8125718453$200.00
07-24 16:33Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.4269999965$30.81
07-24 16:12Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.5839999998$40.00
07-01 00:04Will Claude be restored for international customers by June 30?BUY0.9905515988$121.00
06-30 15:13Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8829471496$107.00
06-12 16:50Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.5199999908$25.00
06-09 12:11Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?BUY0.7437432197$99.09
04-24 12:08Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?SELL0.86$21.85
04-24 12:07Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.09$4.14
04-23 15:39Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?BUY0.4866229268$21.91
04-23 15:39Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?BUY0.7799999938$19.65
04-23 15:39Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?BUY0.9199999994$59.62
04-23 15:27Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?BUY0.9299999966$13.45
04-23 15:26Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.28$13.92