EarlHickey
0x9732f622c04d7d91dc0637fe0b6c7ae02d62cd57
- Realised P&L
- $8.0k
- Volume
- $106.7k
- Markets traded
- 589
- Open portfolio
- $53.74
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded589
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Persis Solo (-2.5) · Persis Solo | 0.535 | 0.565 | $5.65 | +$0.30 |
| Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.390 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$3.05 |
| Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.450 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$2.75 |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.400 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$3.00 |
| Spread: Persis Solo (-4.5) · Persis Solo | 0.540 | 0.640 | $3.20 | +$0.50 |
| Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.635 | $3.17 | +$0.68 |
| Spread: Persis Solo (-3.5) · Persis Solo | 0.570 | 0.620 | $3.10 | +$0.25 |
| Spread: Persis Solo (-5.5) · PSBS Biak | 0.540 | 0.555 | $2.77 | +$0.07 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.535 | $2.67 | −$0.03 |
| Persis Solo vs. PSBS Biak: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.610 | 0.530 | $2.65 | −$0.40 |
| Las Vegas Lights vs. Hartford Athletic: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.510 | $2.55 | −$0.05 |
| Will Barito Putera win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.470 | $2.35 | −$0.25 |
| Persis Solo vs. PSBS Biak: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.390 | 0.470 | $2.35 | +$0.40 |
| Spread: Persis Solo (-2.5) · PSBS Biak | 0.630 | 0.435 | $2.17 | −$0.97 |
| Persis Solo vs. PSBS Biak: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.650 | 0.375 | $1.88 | −$1.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.009Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
- +$491.78at 0.035Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?
- +$482.06at 0.041Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
- +$473.83at 0.050SPY Opens Up or Down on July 23?
- +$448.47at 0.053S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 20:30 | Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $36.79 |
| 08-29 15:10 | Oldham Athletic AFC vs. Swindon Town FC: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.945 | $21.75 |
| 08-27 20:27 | RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.92 | $5.19 |
| 08-26 12:28 | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.97 | $64.94 |
| 08-21 16:25 | Will FK Grobina win on 2026-08-21? | SELL | 0.985 | $60.28 |
| 08-20 18:48 | PFK CSKA Sofia leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.99 | $37.25 |
| 08-17 18:35 | FK Spartak 1918 Varna vs. FK Septemvri Sofia: FK Septemvri Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 08-17 18:35 | FK Spartak 1918 Varna vs. FK Septemvri Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $11.88 |
| 08-17 00:09 | CD Garcilaso leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.93 | $21.00 |
| 08-16 21:27 | UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: UD Las Palmas O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $92.59 |
| 08-16 21:27 | UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: UD Las Palmas O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.992 | $6.42 |
| 08-15 11:07 | Albirex Niigata vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $22.94 |
| 08-10 20:23 | Will Sepsi OSK vs. FCSB end in a draw? | SELL | 0.96 | $21.67 |
| 08-09 19:46 | HNK Hajduk Split vs. NK Istra 1961: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $25.66 |
| 08-08 21:14 | CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.935 | $4.88 |