rickyskinner
0x972c484df1d05859d30e4a8f380d01cf5905a88f
- Realised P&L
- $-25.75
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $45.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Worthing FC win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.630 | 1.000 | $25.03 | +$9.26 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.925 | $20.57 | +$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.49at 0.999Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
- +$0.64at 0.350Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$0.58at 0.339Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$0.51at 0.983Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
- +$0.21at 0.986OpenAI browser in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 11:09 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.46 |
| 01-31 13:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $6.43 |
| 01-30 18:02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999074 | $8.23 |
| 01-30 15:52 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999216 | $8.81 |
| 01-30 12:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999736 | $30.24 |
| 01-30 12:14 | Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.20 |
| 12-30 15:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.50 |
| 12-30 11:54 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.75 |
| 12-29 21:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999508 | $17.14 |
| 12-29 20:42 | Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.09 |
| 10-30 18:29 | Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.42 |
| 10-30 17:42 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9989999839 | $24.58 |
| 09-29 09:37 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.13 |
| 09-29 09:30 | Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | BUY | 0.9949999963 | $17.47 |
| 09-28 22:42 | Russia announces air truce by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.68 |