opn3b
0x97233c31052eba5f7e5ba5300d0cd4321cfc0e2e
- Realised P&L
- $-557.29
- Volume
- $29.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.908 | 0.913 | $1.1k | +$6.11 |
| Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.053 | $24.05 | −$2.48 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.99 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.87 |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.23 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.33at 0.870Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$113.26at 0.736Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$107.00at 0.904Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
- +$47.31at 0.950MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
- +$36.79at 0.926Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 05:25 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9085290894 | $1.1k |
| 07-06 03:14 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.9953711576 | $619.12 |
| 07-01 08:06 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.992 | $617.02 |
| 07-01 08:00 | Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.98 | $492.36 |
| 06-12 23:59 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.894 | $4.4k |
| 06-10 23:14 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.06 | $40.87 |
| 06-10 00:25 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $22.99 |
| 06-10 00:17 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.13 | $140.22 |
| 06-09 23:59 | Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0590253615 | $26.53 |
| 05-29 03:36 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 05-29 03:36 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $909.00 |
| 05-26 19:58 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.3k |
| 05-24 20:00 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9009068021 | $87.00 |
| 05-24 19:59 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.899 | $97.09 |
| 05-24 19:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | SELL | 0.999 | $182.36 |