0x6688a1a91697cbafdcdf893c25e2273ab6db67cd
0x9722b812bafd8605722785c757e2cd32c7cc5304
- Realised P&L
- $-7.2k
- Volume
- $597.6k
- Markets traded
- 606
- Open portfolio
- $590.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded606
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.463Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
- +$1.7kat 0.796Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$1.7kat 0.732Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?
- +$1.5kat 0.680Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 26?
- +$1.1kat 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 05:29 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.05 |
| 01-29 05:47 | TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8457063478 | $100.00 |
| 01-29 05:46 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.0747415107 | $23.73 |
| 01-28 20:35 | Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 01-28 20:34 | Will Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference? | BUY | 0.9955830162 | $100.00 |
| 01-28 20:34 | Will Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference? | BUY | 0.9948062315 | $100.00 |
| 01-28 20:34 | Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference? | BUY | 0.9968767159 | $100.00 |
| 01-28 20:34 | Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference? | BUY | 0.99 | $90.00 |
| 01-28 20:33 | Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference? | BUY | 0.9884764037 | $100.00 |
| 12-31 00:15 | Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.8299999977 | $50.00 |
| 12-31 00:14 | Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.8299999966 | $200.00 |
| 12-29 18:04 | US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $200.00 |
| 12-24 01:43 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $200.00 |
| 12-24 01:36 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.9295349352 | $300.00 |
| 12-23 21:50 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |