LilleBjoern
0x972109b6cb7c97a5aa623e6347b775f972fd3ef8
- Realised P&L
- $-269.02
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $157.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $110.00 | −$10.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.145 | $44.42 | +$4.60 |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $3.06 | −$1.94 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.55 |
| Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.74 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.48 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-25.13at 0.114Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:03 | Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 12:00 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.04 | $13.32 |
| 09-13 19:22 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1099999997 | $36.64 |
| 09-13 19:18 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $38.26 |
| 09-06 08:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999987 | $81.28 |
| 09-06 08:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $120.00 |
| 04-10 14:33 | Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0141102184 | $14.00 |
| 04-10 14:33 | Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.015 | $30.00 |
| 04-10 14:32 | Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0271386782 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 06:16 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.065999939 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 06:15 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0659999967 | $18.10 |
| 09-17 06:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | SELL | 0.014 | $6.65 |
| 09-17 06:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.14 | $11.90 |
| 08-15 19:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.2399999963 | $44.00 |
| 08-15 19:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.37 | $44.40 |