0x971c71061ab99ffcc5592b078779f76e6f30afb7
0x971c71061ab99ffcc5592b078779f76e6f30afb7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.84
- Volume
- $47.62
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $6.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.940 | $1.84 | +$0.84 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.964 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.720 | 0.986 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.660 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.670 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.42at 0.420SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.20at 0.460Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.89at 0.530US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.83at 0.550Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.68at 0.600Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $650?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:57 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:53 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:53 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:23 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:26 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:15 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:48 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:00 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on September 16? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:59 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:59 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:45 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:21 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |