0x971978af306D6e616c1DC7971b0c389D1c6EA355-1760914150463
0x971978af306d6e616c1dc7971b0c389d1c6ea355
- Realised P&L
- $58.27
- Volume
- $239.44
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $122.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar24.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.787 | $66.93 | +$19.93 |
| Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.411 | 1.000 | $55.92 | +$32.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.27at 0.283Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
- +$-5.00at 0.489Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:20 | Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4110638294 | $23.00 |
| 10-02 15:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5529999962 | $47.00 |
| 03-18 21:21 | Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.4889999919 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 20:22 | Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.2832296029 | $25.00 |