RG1997
0x970b3c8cfc294f9e5360efcb8be6fe8773e29503
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $40.9k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $327.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$790.85at 0.949Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$202.95at 0.430MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$150.21at 0.378Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
- +$55.35at 0.590Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
- +$27.00at 0.400Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 22:07 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $23.50 |
| 06-07 22:07 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 06-07 22:07 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $37.77 |
| 06-07 22:05 | Another Canada election called by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.93 |
| 06-07 22:05 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.18 |
| 06-07 22:04 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.48 |
| 06-07 22:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $18.83 |
| 05-24 08:47 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 05-23 16:33 | Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 05-23 16:30 | UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.61 | $11.20 |
| 05-23 16:29 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.94 | $31.96 |
| 05-23 16:29 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 05-23 16:28 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.72 |
| 05-23 16:27 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $16.35 |
| 05-23 16:23 | Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $21.74 |