PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

RG1997

0x970b3c8cfc294f9e5360efcb8be6fe8773e29503

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$36.5k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$176.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? · No0.9110.946$47.27+$1.72
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · No0.9730.990$29.70+$0.51
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.981$24.51+$1.01
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? · No0.9880.992$21.81+$0.08
Will Elon register any party before 2027? · No0.7990.946$18.91+$2.93
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.8600.966$14.49+$1.59
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · No0.8200.585$12.87−$5.17
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9480.159$3.98−$19.73
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9400.055$1.49−$23.91
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0050.004$1.34−$0.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.24
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$1.60
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00−$12.98
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 22:07Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$23.50
06-07 22:07Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?BUY0.998$29.94
06-07 22:07Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?BUY0.994$37.77
06-07 22:05Another Canada election called by June 30?BUY0.997$21.93
06-07 22:05Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.13$5.18
06-07 22:04Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.96$12.48
06-07 22:04Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.98$18.83
05-24 08:47Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenSELL0.999$33.97
05-23 16:33Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?SELL0.001$0.50
05-23 16:30UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY0.61$11.20
05-23 16:29Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenBUY0.94$31.96
05-23 16:29Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?BUY0.32$1.60
05-23 16:28Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?BUY0.99$25.72
05-23 16:27Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.957$16.35
05-23 16:23Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?BUY0.988$21.74