PolyBot

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Traders

Thibaud

0x970aa613c436d3763cbd0719978d941824d37016

Realised P&L
$-53.1k
Volume
$639.6k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$22.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1410.153$10.9k+$912.76
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4230.403$8.8k−$446.30
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.2190.201$2.8k−$244.50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4700.365$64.46−$18.54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5820.000$0.00−$11.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 17:49Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4699999992$83.00
10-28 17:49Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.266$82.22
10-27 15:46Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6599734062$204.00
10-12 19:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6559999998$134.28
10-05 19:35Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4228480101$9.3k
10-05 15:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.01$25.00
10-05 15:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-05 15:02Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1406618834$10.0k
10-05 14:57Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.2187517323$3.0k
10-05 14:54Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.4385099791$23.4k
09-29 14:27Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4053864164$12.2k
09-29 14:27Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4209635163$9.8k
09-29 13:55Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5823798868$11.2k
09-17 16:24No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.0259999999$346.60
09-13 09:58No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.0189999998$100.00