0x970a1530a8c8903118cbadf691b174b4cc03eea7
0x970a1530a8c8903118cbadf691b174b4cc03eea7
- Realised P&L
- $-13.46
- Volume
- $134.84
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $3.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.925 | $1.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.345 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.225 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.21at 0.480Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$1.84at 0.520S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?
- +$1.80at 0.400Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.25at 0.590Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:22 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:13 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 12:42 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 22:03 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 13:11 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 05:11 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 20:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 12:14 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 04:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:11 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 00:07 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 3? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:06 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:30 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |